Monday, November 23, 2009

Five Things To Be Thankful For This Thanksgiving 2009

Chances are that if you are reading this you likely have your basic needs as a human being covered. Food, shelter and enough money to have some control of your life and take care of your loved ones. Something to be thankful for, indeed. My list of five things to be thankful for this Thanksgiving could be interpreted as shallow. But lets face it: I'm a real estate agent and I write about real estate, and we are fortunate here in San Francisco as far as that topic is concerned. Don't believe me ? Read on...

1.) Extended and expanded federal home buyer tax credits for 2010.

Its estimated that 40% of new home buyers in 2009 moved forward with their transactions because of the state and federal tax credits that were offered. I don't know what the percentage of buyers in San Francisco is that would make that claim, but increased transaction volume bodes well for the market and boosts confidence on a national, state and local level.

2.) Inventory is down and there's not much in the pipeline.

I've said it before, but it bears repeating: Only one high rise development will open for sales Downtown in 2010. One Hawthorne will add 165 units to Downtown inventory amidst a market that will have absorbed almost all other units.
The Infinity, Arterra, BLU, and One Rincon are all starting to scrape the barrel with approximately 140 units available amongst the four.

3.) Mortgage money is still cheap.

The process of getting a mortgage may be more onerous than it once was, and it certainly takes longer for transactions to close due to a finicky and seemingly arbitrary underwriting process, but interest rates are still REALLY low. All the folks buying in 2009 know that and I'm confident we will have good rates available in the near future.

4.) Low inventory + demand = a more balanced market.

Buyers had it made in '09. If you had good credit and a reasonable down payment the world was your oyster in terms of purchasing a condominium Downtown. Sellers of both new and resale properties got realistic and starting making deals happen that established a new 'normal' for value based on the pros and con's of the property itself and not the dream of quick and easy equity. With inventory drying up, I predict a more balanced market between sellers and buyers than was possible in '09.

5.) You. Are. Here.

I don't want to put down other cities because that would be rude. But let's be real. Whether you own or rent, want to buy or sell, you probably live in San Francisco. It can be a maddening, annoying, frustrating place. Yet at the end of the day we live in a city that people from all over the world come to visit for just a few days and then go back to their dreary 'burgs, 'hams and 'villes. Remember that when you dig into that turkey, tofurkey or whatever else you'll be feasting on this Thursday.

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